In the last month I’ve been talking about the growing and now most likely Dark Window scenario for stocks, given that we haven’t seen that infamous 40% crash in the first-three-months scenario that finally declares a bubble is over. That is, we could see a final blow-off rally for stocks that could take the Nasdaq […]
About Harry Dent, Economic Forecaster
Harry S. Dent, Jr. received his MBA from Harvard Business School, where he was a Baker Scholar and was elected to the Century Club for leadership excellence. His newest book, ZERO HOUR, Turn the Greatest Political and Financial Upheaval in Modern History to Your Advantage released mid-November 2017. Today, he uses the research he developed from years of hands-on business experience to offer readers a positive, easy-to-understand view of the economic future by heading up Dent Research. Harry has written numerous books over the years. In his book The Great Boom Ahead, published in 1992, he stood virtually alone in accurately forecasting the unanticipated boom of the 1990s. That same year he authored two consecutive best sellers: The Roaring 2000s and The Roaring 2000s Investor (Simon and Schuster).
I’ll tell you, the market rally from early 2017 into late January did look like the perfect blow-off rally and bubble top to me. It was exponential. It broke out of a steep channel into a classic “throw-over” rally. Everything you would look for to know. But it turned out not to be. By April […]
The bull market run since March 2009, when unprecedented money printing became the economic driver du jour, recently become the longest in history without a 20%-plus correction. Past stock bubbles have lasted five years; six years max. This one is now 9.8 years old – off the charts. We have the unprecedented major tax cut […]
During the last several months, I’ve been looking at two scenarios for this unprecedented stock bubble. Scenario 1 involved a peak in late September, but I’ve now ruled that out. The following chart is one of a few I’ve been tracking to compare this with past initial bubble crashes. I want to see if any […]
One thing both the left and the right can agree on is that Donald Trump is NOT the establishment. Fact is he is anything but the establishment. This has caused a great deal of resentment amongst the political elite. Harry Dent has a perspective not to be missed in this short video. “We are moving […]
A big reason for the violent market crash on Wednesday and Thursday – where the Dow Jones lost close to 1,400 points – was concerns over weakness in China. China’s government had to reduce reserve requirements as a monetary stimulus last week and the markets here and in Asia took it as a sign that the […]
A while ago I shared with you a chart showing a reverse-head-and-shoulders pattern for 30-year Treasury bond yields that strongly suggested an acceleration up to around 4.3% if there was a clear break of the 3.22% level. We got that break in spades last week. Here’s the chart of that break out. I’ve been warning […]
I always consider two scenarios when doing any kind of short-term forecasting. In short, it’s because there are so many more variables that could affect outcomes in the short term that, really, things could go either way. So, with markets opening in the red yesterday morning after closing out last week near all-time highs, here’s an […]
Since the bubble started bursting back in December, I’ve been a bitcoin bear near term. I saw the crypto likely following the internet on about a 22.5-year lag (half my 45-year Innovation Cycle). It starts off with a short, extreme bubble, crashes and THEN builds into a major industry in the decades that follow, or […]
We’ve been in the final bubble rally since the bottom in early 2016. It’s in a channel – as is typical – and is about as clear as it can be in chart patterns during such a confusing time, thanks to an over-stimulated economy. The run up into January of 2018 looked like the perfect […]
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